UKRAINE: Violence worsens in the east and relations sour between the West and Russia, while the Ukrainian president announces an agreement with Russia to negotiate a ceasefire
The armed conflict between the Ukrainian Army and pro-Russian rebels continued to mount dramatically in August, with close to 2,600 people killed between April and late August, according to the UN. Some 260,000 people have been displaced internally according to UN figures from 1 September, showing a steep increase compared to 117,000 in the first week of August, in addition to other types of impact. Moreover, a UN report noted serious human rights abuses committed by rebel and government forces. The first few weeks of August witnessed the military preponderance of the Ukrainian Army, which besieged the regions of Donetsk and Luhansk and forced rebel forces to withdraw from many areas. The increase in clashes aggravated the humanitarian situation in those regions, compounded further by forced displacement. Russia called an emergency meeting of the UN Security Council to address the humanitarian situation in the area as rebel forces called for a ceasefire. Russia and Ukraine agreed to send Russian humanitarian aid through the ICRC, but the latter’s suspicion that this could provide cover for armed support for the rebels and the difficulty in verifying the convoys’ cargo set off a related diplomatic crisis. In the end, Russia moved one hundred Russian trucks allegedly carrying humanitarian aid without Ukrainian authorisation. In the closing days of August, rebels forces seized the military initiative and forced Ukrainian Army troops to withdraw from areas of Donetsk and Luhansk, thereby opening a new front and capturing the southeastern port city of Novoazovsk on the coast of the Sea of Azov. The civilian population also fled from the neighbouring port city of Mariupol in fear of the potential spread of the conflict there. Ukraine claimed that Novoazovsk had been taken over by regular Russian troops. In late August, NATO also accused Russia of sending troops and arms into Ukraine. Faced with the rising violence, there were some attempts at negotiation during the month. The Ukrainian and Russian presidents met in Minsk, Belarus in late August in their first direct meeting since June, through there were no immediate results. There was a new round of negotiations on 1 September, which brought together representatives of Ukraine, the rebel forces, Russia and OSCE mediators in Minsk, though any achievements went unannounced. Finally, on 3 September the Ukrainian president announced an agreement with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, to work towards a ceasefire in eastern Ukraine. Putin said that he hoped a ceasefire would materialise in the coming days. The international atmosphere grew even tenser with Western accusations of alleged Russian military action inside Ukraine, the increase in mutual sanctions, NATO’s announcement that it would create a rapid reaction force against a possible Russian threat in Eastern Europe and Russia’s decision to review its military strategy for NATO. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian president called for early elections on 28 October. (BBC, El País, Reuters, UN, OSCE, 1-31/08/14, 1-3/09/14)