YEMEN: The Houthis' advance on the capital pushes the country to its worst crisis since 2011 and results in a peace agreement that fails to reduce uncertainty
Yemen is facing its worst crisis since the episodes of violence in 2011 that led to the ouster of Ali Abdullah Saleh. The escalation began in late July, after the government decreed an end to fuel subsidies, an unpopular move in the country. In this context, the Houthi movement called for disobedience, demanded the resignation of the government and promoted protest campaigns in the capital, Sana'a, which were answered by pro-government demonstrations. In September, the tension led to shooting during demonstrations and to battles between Houthi militias and armed groups supporting the Sunni Islamist party Islah and groups close to General Ali Mohsen al-Ahmar. According to government estimates, the violence caused more than 270 fatalities and forcibly displaced some of the population. At the end of the month, the Houthis, who over the course of the last year have expanded their control in the regions of northern Yemen, seized the capital, set up checkpoints in the city, encircled the main government buildings and forced the government to step down. President Abdo Rabbo Mansour Hadi, who had described the Houthi offensive as an attempted coup d'état, accepted the resignation of Prime Minister Mohamed Basindwa, which preceded the signing of the peace agreement promoted by the UN special envoy for Yemen, Jamal Benomar, on 21 September. Called the Peace and National Partnership Agreement, it establishes a reduction in the price of fuel and urges the election of a new prime minister and the formation of a new inclusive government within a month. Thus, it provides for greater Houthi influence in the government. The Houthis were reluctant to sign an annex providing for the disarmament of the parties, for the government to regain authority in areas under militia control and for weapons seized during fighting to be returned. The five-point annex, which committed the warring parties to stopping the violence (including clashes in the provinces of Maarib and al-Jawf), was signed a week later, but did not end the incidents. In late September, new clashes were reported around the presidential palace, as well as actions against the Houthis' political enemies and a suicide attack against a Houthi base in Sana'a that killed 15 people. Responsibility for this last attack was claimed by the armed group Ansar al-Sharia, linked to AQAP. In this context, analysts and observers considered the peace agreement a deal that has only temporarily lowered the risk of civil war in the country and warned that the crisis could facilitate the progress of al-Qaeda in southern Yemen. (Yemen Times, 23/09/14; BBC, 20, 22, 24, 27/09/14; UN News, 22-24, 29/09/14; al-Jazeera, 26, 28, 29/09/14; IRIN, 23, 29/09/14)